Chinese New Year 2026 Is Approaching and Space Is Already Tight: Have you Considered SEA-AIR?
If you’ve been shipping out of China for a while, you already know how this plays out.
Chinese New Year 2026 officially begins on 17 February, but for supply chains, the disruption doesn’t wait for the fireworks. By the time the calendar flips to mid-January, factories are already slowing down, trucking availability starts to thin out, and carriers begin tightening space.
Every year, we speak to clients who say the same thing: “We thought we still had time.”
And every year, the answer is the same. By late January, time is exactly what you don’t have.
Why things get tight so quickly
As Chinese New Year approaches, workers begin travelling back to their hometowns, sometimes weeks ahead of the official holiday. Production output drops. Export cargo surges as everyone tries to ship “one last container” before shutdowns begin.
At the same time:
- Carriers reduce sailings
- Cut-off dates move forward
- Ports and terminals become congested
- Rates start to climb
The result is a short, intense window where demand far outstrips capacity. If bookings aren’t locked in early, shipments are often rolled to post-holiday sailings or pushed back several weeks.
By late January, we’re already in what most forwarders would call the danger zone.
What this means if you’re planning late
If your cargo still needs to move before Chinese New Year, options become more limited the closer we get. Ocean freight space is harder to secure, and even when it is available, schedules are less reliable.
Air freight is an alternative, but it comes with higher costs and tight capacity of its own during this period. For some shipments, it simply doesn’t make commercial sense.
This is where sea–air services can offer a practical middle ground.
Sea–air: a realistic fallback when time matters
Sea–air isn’t new, but it becomes particularly valuable in the weeks leading up to Chinese New Year.
In simple terms, cargo moves by sea for the longer leg, then transfers to air freight at a strategic hub to complete the journey faster than ocean alone. It’s not as fast as pure air freight, but it’s significantly quicker than waiting for post-holiday sailings. Cost-wise, it usually lands somewhere in between.
For clients who:
- Missed early ocean booking windows
- Can’t afford full air freight rates
- Still need goods moving before or shortly after CNY
Sea–air can be the difference between keeping stock flowing and waiting until March.
That said, sea–air capacity also tightens quickly at this time of year. It’s not a last-minute miracle solution, but it can be a smart contingency if planned properly.
The key takeaway: don’t wait for the cutoff to act
As we head deeper into the Chinese New Year run-up, space will continue to tighten. Rates will fluctuate. Schedules will shift. That’s the reality of this season.
The businesses that come through it smoothly are usually the ones that:
- Confirm bookings early
- Stay flexible on routing
- Talk to their forwarder before problems appear, not after
If you already have shipments planned, now is the time to review them. If something has slipped or production is running late, it’s worth having a conversation about alternatives while options still exist.
Chinese New Year doesn’t catch people out because it’s unexpected. It catches them out because it’s underestimated.
If you’re unsure whether your cargo will make the cut, or you want to explore backup options like sea–air, speak to us early. A short conversation now can save weeks of delay later.